Texas State
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 74.1324Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 68.0) 52-27 906 A UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 78.7) 36-43 913 A Arizona St B12 ( 8- 4, 83.3) 15-34 920 H Nicholls St 35- 3 1004 A Arkansas State SUN ( 6- 6, 70.9) 30-31 1011 H Troy SUN ( 8- 5, 73.2) 41-48 1018 A Marshall SUN ( 5- 7, 73.0) 37-40 1028 H J Madison SUN (12- 1, 84.8) 20-52 1108 A Louisiana SUN ( 6- 5, 70.3) 39-42 1115 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 6, 70.3) 41-14 1122 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 64.3) 31-14 1129 H So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 69.0) 49-26
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Ea Michigan 52-27 25 9 ++ 5.18
906 A UTSA 36-43 -7 -7 0.25
913 A Arizona St 15-34 -19 -12 - -2.11
1004 A Arkansas State 30-31 -1 1 -1.60
1011 H Troy 41-48 -7 4 --- -10.62
1018 A Marshall 37-40 -3 -2 -1.48
1028 H J Madison 20-52 -32 -8 -- -5.98
1108 A Louisiana 39-42 -3 1 -- -4.17
1115 A So Miss 41-14 27 1 +++ 12.80
1122 H La-Monroe 31-14 17 13 1.49
1129 H So Alabama 49-26 23 8 +++ 6.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H Troy 41-48 -7 4 --- -10.62 1028 H J Madison 20-52 -32 -8 -- -5.98 1108 A Louisiana 39-42 -3 1 -- -4.17 913 A Arizona St 15-34 -19 -12 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 A So Miss 41-14 27 1 +++ 12.80 1129 H So Alabama 49-26 23 8 +++ 6.23 830 H Ea Michigan 52-27 25 9 ++ 5.18 |
Texas State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Fla Atlantic | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Texas State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Texas State | |
| So Florida | So Florida | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Florida | |
| Temple | Texas State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Tulane | Tulane | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| UAB | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Baylor | |
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colorado | |
| Houston | Houston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Houston | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Utah | Utah | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | We Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | We Virginia | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kennesaw St | |
| Liberty | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| La Tech | La Tech | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | La Tech | |
| Middle Tenn | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| NM St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| SHouston St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| UTEP | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| We Kentucky | We Kentucky | We Kentucky | ||
| UMass | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Ball St | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Bowl. Green | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Buffalo | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Texas State | |
| Cen Michigan | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Ea Michigan | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Kent State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| MiamiOH | MiamiOH | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | MiamiOH | |
| No Illinois | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Ohio | Ohio | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ohio | |
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | We Michigan | |
| Air Force | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Oregon St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arkansas | |
| Auburn | Auburn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Kentucky | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Missouri | |
| Miss St | Miss St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Miss St | |
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Texas State | |
| Arkansas State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Coastal Car | Texas State | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Texas State | |
| Georgia So | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Texas State | |
| Georgia St | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Texas State | |
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Old Dominion | |
| So Miss | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| So Alabama | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| La-Monroe | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Delaware | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Missouri St | Texas State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas State |
PowerWise = 43
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 68.0) 52-27 -31.91 15.24 -2.67 1.10 27.72
0 A UTSA ( 7- 5, 78.7) 36-43 -21.20 25.95 2.67 1.10 -10.21
0 A Arizona St ( 8- 4, 83.3) 15-34 -16.55 30.59 2.67 1.10 -7.65
0 A Arkansas State ( 6- 6, 70.9) 30-31 -29.04 18.11 2.67 1.10 -14.54
0 H Troy ( 8- 5, 73.2) 41-48 -26.71 20.44 -2.67 1.10 -16.21
0 A Marshall ( 5- 7, 73.0) 37-40 -26.92 20.22 2.67 1.10 -13.37
0 H J Madison (12- 1, 84.8) 20-52 -15.07 32.08 -2.67 1.10 -9.79
0 A Louisiana ( 6- 5, 70.3) 39-42 -29.61 17.54 2.67 1.10 -14.86
0 A So Miss ( 6- 6, 70.3) 41-14 -29.64 17.51 2.67 1.10 44.52
0 H La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 64.3) 31-14 -35.60 11.55 -2.67 1.10 19.58
0 H So Alabama ( 4- 8, 69.0) 49-26 -30.86 16.29 -2.67 1.10 30.04
------
35.23
|
winning pts = 121.8550 losing points = -86.6296
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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